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RESEARCH PAPER ANALYSIS

Soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor 1 predicts hospitalization in children and young adults with dengue virus infection in the Philippines.

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PMID40080919
JournalCytokine
Publication Date2025-03-12
Ingested2026-08-02 12:04 AM
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ABSTRACT

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BACKGROUND: Dengue fever is a common cause of acute febrile illness in the tropics and requires hospitalization for intravenous (IV) fluid therapy in a minority of patients. Predicting which patients will progress to severe disease is challenging. Soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor 1 (sTNFR1) is associated with severe dengue and may have prognostic value. METHODS: Prospective cohort study of outpatients in the Philippines with dengue fever, confirmed by NS1 antigenemia or IgM seropositivity. sTNFR1 was measured at presentation and patients were followed for 14-21 days for hospitalization (primary outcome), duration of stay, IV fluid resuscitation, hemoconcentration, and thrombocytopenia (secondary outcomes). RESULTS: 244 patients (median age 9 years, 40 % female, 26 % uncomplicated dengue, 73 % dengue with warning signs, 0.82 % severe dengue) were included. The median sTNFR1 plasma concentration was 3000pg/mL (IQR 2400-3700) at clinic presentation, decreasing to 1800 (IQR 1600-2100) after recovery. 181 patients (74 %) required hospitalization. Plasma sTNFR1 concentration > 2800 pg/mL, measured at clinic presentation, was associated with subsequent hospitalization (relative risk 1.5, 95 %CI 1.2-1.7, p < 0.0001). Elevated sTNFR1 was also associated with longer duration of stay, IV fluid requirement, hemoconcentration, and thrombocytopenia. sTNFR1 was also associated with a marker of systemic inflammation (procalcitonin), and circulating markers of endothelial activation (Ang2, sTie-2, sVCAM-1, and endoglin). CONCLUSION: Elevated sTNFR1 is predictive of subsequent hospitalization among outpatients with DENV infection. It shows promise as a marker that could guide triage to reduce the large healthcare burden of dengue in resource-constrained settings.

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Soluble tumour necrosis factor receptor 1 predicts hospitalization in children and young adults with dengue virus infection in the Philippines.

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